New Zealand survey suggests Auckland will dominate population growth

Published:  11 Oct at 6 PM
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Tagged: New Zealand
Subnational population projections by Statistics New Zealand have revealed that 38 out of every 100 people in the country will be living in Auckland by 2031.

Already the commercial hub of New Zealand, Auckland is now its fastest growing city, with growth expected to accelerate during the next 20 years until it holds around two million of the country’s over five million population. Natural population increase, calculated as births minus deaths, is expected to account for 66 per cent of Auckland’s growth during the period, with net migration accounting for the remaining third.

It’s also expected that, out of New Zealand’s 16 provinces, only Auckland will experience more births than deaths, as its present population is comparatively young. In spite of losing almost 9,000 residents last year due to the ongoing effects of the disastrous earthquakes, Christchurch is projected to increase its present population by at least 1,500 per year until 2016 and 2,500 for the following 15 years.

Well over half of the country’s 67 territorial authority areas will see population increases between 2012 and 2031, although growth rates will slow over the period in relation to the birth/death ratio.Statistics New Zealand produces bi- or tri-annual growth projections for all the country’s regions and local districts, detailing indications of future demographics. The reports are aimed at helping government, local councils and communities make correct decisions about planning and resources.
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